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Aging, migration, and structural transformation in China

作者:xixican 阅读: 发布:2023-12-11
期刊 ECONOMIC MODELLING 刊号 出版时间 SEP 2023,卷126,文献号 106430
作者 Cao, Huoqing; Chen, Shiyi; Xi, Xican 论文链接
【期      刊】 ECONOMIC MODELLING
【出版信息】 出版信息
【刊      号】 出版时间 SEP 2023,卷126,文献号 106430
【作      者】 Cao, Huoqing; Chen, Shiyi; Xi, Xican
【PDF下载】 点击下载论文附件
【关  键 词】 AGGREGATE PRODUCTIVITY; HUKOU SYSTEM; CHINA; LABOR; TRADE; AGRICULTURE; GROWTH; DISCRIMINATION; DEMOGRAPHICS; INEQUALITY
【论文链接】 点击查看
【摘      要】



This paper studies the interaction of laborforce aging and structural transformation in China. Empirically, laborforce aging has occurred much faster in agriculture, and rural-urban migration, the key driving force of structural transformation, was lower among old workers. We build a two-sector spatial equilibrium model featuring heterogeneous migration costs across workers. Our quantitative exercises calibrate the model to the Chinese data, implying that the higher migration costs facing old workers account for about 1/3 of laborforce aging in agriculture between 2000 and 2010. Furthermore, the aging of the aggregate labor force slows the reallocation of labor from agriculture by 1.6 percentage points.