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Payroll Taxes, Firm Dynamism, and Aggregate Productivity

作者:fengjin 阅读: 发布:2026-09-07
期刊 JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS 刊号 Volume 185, February 2027, 103918
作者 Jin Feng, Yuting Li, Yu Liu 论文链接
【期      刊】 JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
【出版信息】 出版信息
【刊      号】 Volume 185, February 2027, 103918
【作      者】 Jin Feng, Yuting Li, Yu Liu
【PDF下载】 点击下载论文附件
【关  键 词】 Payroll taxes; Enforcement; Firm dynamism; Aggregate productivity
【论文链接】 点击查看
【摘      要】

This study examines the impact of payroll-tax enforcement on firm dynamism and its implications for aggregate productivity. We exploit China’s Social Security Collection Agency Reform, which transferred responsibility for collecting social-insurance contributions from local social-insurance agencies to tax authorities, thereby strengthening enforcement. We show that the reform increased firms’ social-insurance contributions, shifted workers toward informal employment without reducing overall nonagricultural employment, and reduced new firm entry while weakening incumbent firms’ profitability and investment. Overall, the reform reduced measured aggregate productivity in China’s registered, above-scale industrial sector by 3.3 percent, with entry into the above-scale industrial sector accounting for about 45 percent of the estimated decline.